The Bush Doctrine will spell doom to American hegemony
The right is learning the wrong lessons from Pax Britannica
Mackubin Owens writes in this week's National Review an article that tries to convince people of the validity of the so-called "Bush Doctrine". His thesis could be described as follows:
American predominance as a hegemonic world power is not just good for the United States but for the world. American hegemonic power promotes global stability because no other country or combination of countries at present can rival the United States economically or militarily and thus discourages aggression and instability. The Bush doctrine is designed to ensure that these conditions continue. A precedent of what happens when a world hegemon weakens is Great Britain. Great Britain's decline in power was one of the necessary conditions for two world wars. The United States must ensure this does not happen again.
At first glance that seems like a good argument. At closer examination, it falls apart. For instance, how did the British Empire weaken? If we are going to make use of historical examples, why do so selectively? It was Great Britain's imperialistic policy that in turn created the very rivals that led to its relative decline. Rivals, who felt threatened by Pax-Britannica who grew stronger and grouped together to act as a counter weight to the British Empire. It was those alliances, one being the Central Powers, that led to two world wars. It was not Britain just arbitrarily becoming relatively weaker. Its own policies led to that just like Bush's imperialistic policies are doing the same today.
That is why so many of us are appalled by Bush's foreign policy. Far from making the United States more secure, it is making us less secure. During the Clinton years, American power was not just unrivaled but no one even desired to create a rival for a benevolent American hegemon. But now, with Bush, the European Union and its citizens see a need to counter the power of the United States. China and Russia face the same crisis. If the Bush doctrine continues, I predict you will see the rise of multiple rival power blocs around the world.
The United States with its 280 million citizens cannot possibly hope to remain the sole super power if other nations, intimidated by reckless and unilateral use of military power feel compelled to put their strengths together to counter it. The lesson of Pax-Britannica is not to try to dominate the world militarily in open bravado, the lesson is to pursue policies that don't encourage the rise of rivals and enemies. The Bush doctrine seems to be ignoring that lesson just like Mr. Ownes is.