nutball2004

Reply to Dean 2004 = McGovern 1972? in Politics JoeUser Forums

I think the idea that a moderate can beat Bush is itself a bit misleading (wasn't it Carl Rove who first posited this idea?). A Kerry or Clark (or even Lieberman) type moderate has very little chance against Bush. There is no real deciding factor. "I would have run the Iraq war a bit differently" is not an issue that will win an election. Domestically, if the economy is well recovered, there is no other real domestic issue. In the presidential race the

Reply to Dean 2004 = McGovern 1972? in Politics JoeUser Forums

jeblackstar. I think that Kerry will win NH. I don't think it matters. I think that the candidate with the most staying power (at this point) is Dean, he has the most money and the best organization. Kerry is the flavor of the week. The race doesn't really start until after Feb 3rd when things start to tighten up. After the 3rd we should be down to 3-4 candidates, t

Reply to Dean 2004 = McGovern 1972? in Politics JoeUser Forums

I sympathize with your predicament. However I must clarify one factual error. I did not predict that Dean would win in Iowa, in fact, I wrote it off. To continue the McGovern = Dean analogy, McGovern became a national condenter in Iowa. In this election, by the time Iowa rolled around, Dean had already become a national contender, so he did not need a win in Iowa to appear on the radar screen. The equality in this case is McGovern Iowa = Dean Internet/

Reply to Dean 2004 = McGovern 1972? in Politics JoeUser Forums

How polite of you to ask, I already have. ( the dirt here ) At this point in 72, no one was confident that McGovern would win (not even his staff). He didn't even have a majority at the convention. As f

Reply to Dean 2004 = McGovern 1972? in Politics JoeUser Forums

Bush will win. Dean = McGoven. It has been calculated. www.exogesis.com